Population Size , Concentration , and Civil War . A Geographically
نویسنده
چکیده
The paper surveys a set of hypotheses forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the relationship between the size and location of population groups. The hypotheses are tested on a new dataset called ACLED that disaggregates internal conflicts into individual events. The analysis covers 14 countries in Central Africa. The conflict event data are juxtaposed with geographically disaggregated data on populations, distance to capitals, borders, and road networks. The paper develops a statistical method to analyze this type of data. The analysis confirms several of the hypotheses. ∗Contact author: Håvard Hegre; [email protected]. Thanks to Joachim Carlsen for programming tools to generate several of the variables used in the analysis. The research has been funded by the Research Council of Norway.
منابع مشابه
Regional Heterogeneity in the Structural Relationship Matters
A common finding in the empirical civil war literature is that population size and per capita income are highly significant predictors of civil war incidence and onset. This paper shows that the common finding of population size and per capita income having a significant average effect on civil war risk in a world sample breaks down once countryand year-specific unobservables are accounted for....
متن کاملImpact of Syrian Civil War on Water Quality of Turkish Part of Orontes River
Surface waters become more and more polluted, depending on human activities around them. The current study has been conducted to evaluate the impact of Syrian civil war on water quality of the Turkish part of Orontes River. For so doing, it has obtained monitoring data between 2006 and 2014 from state of Hydraulic Works of Turkey, analyzing them via Water Quality Index (WQI) and Principal Compo...
متن کاملImpact of Syrian Civil War on Water Quality of Turkish Part of Orontes River
Surface waters become more and more polluted, depending on human activities around them. The current study has been conducted to evaluate the impact of Syrian civil war on water quality of the Turkish part of Orontes River. For so doing, it has obtained monitoring data between 2006 and 2014 from state of Hydraulic Works of Turkey, analyzing them via Water Quality Index (WQI) and Principal Compo...
متن کاملEconomic Shocks , Civil War & Ethnicity Thorsten Janus & Daniel Riera - Crichton
We document a non-monotonic effect of economic downturns on civil war onset using a novel country panel dataset. Declining commodity terms of trade or income levels increase civil war risk significantly in countries with intermediate levels of ethnic diversity. In highly diverse or homogenous societies, if anything, economic declines help to prevent civil war. Given that the size of the largest...
متن کاملThe Young and the Restless: Population Age Structure and Civil War
T hree months after the attacks of September 11, 2001, the New York Times asked, “Is the Devil in the Demographics?” (Sciolino, 2001). The article examined the vulnerability of large cohorts of unemployed youth to extremist ideology and political recruitment, and speculated about the hazards created by future youth cohorts in the Middle East. In the post-9/11 era, however, there has been very l...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2005